Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Players Missing Regular Calbee Cards

For years now I've been noticing an odd phenomenon in Calbee's annual baseball card sets - there will be several players each year who appear in one of the subsets but don't have a "regular" player card.  I decided to sit down and figure out how often this happens.  I've got every complete Calbee set since 2012 so it was pretty trivial to figure this out for every set from then to last year - obviously this year's set isn't completely out yet so I can't make any conclusions about it yet.

Some notes on my methodology - there were a couple subsets I didn't take into consideration.  I ignored any subset that didn't primarily include active players (obviously) so I didn't count the "Memorial" subset Calbee did in 2012 featuring reprinted Calbee cards (although about a third of this subset did have active players in it).  For similar reasons I didn't include the "Managers" subsets from the 2015 and 2018 sets (or the two managers who appeared in the 2016 "First Win" subset).  I also didn't consider any of the players in the subsets featuring the previous years' first round draft picks from the 2013, 2017 and 2018 sets (with two exceptions) since typically these players don't have "regular" cards - although a couple of them did in 2018.  (The exceptions are Shohei Ohtani in 2013 since he also appeared in the "All Star" subset and Kotaro Kiyomiya in 2018 because he also appeared in the "Exciting Scene" subset.)  I'm also not including the "Star" insert cards or the checklist cards.  Bear in mind that if I had included any of these subsets, the following counts would have been worse.

What I found was that there were 89 instances of a player appearing in one or more subsets and not having a "regular" card in Calbee's set between 2012 and 2022 which is an average of a little over eight a year.  Here's the full list:

Year Player Team Subsets
2012 Alfredo Figaro Buffaloes Opening Day Pitcher
2012 DJ Houlton Giants Title Holder
2012 Kenta Maeda Carp Title Holder, Opening Day Pitcher, All Star
2012 Norihiro Nakamura Baystars All Star
2012 Masahiro Tanaka Eagles Title Holder, Opening Day Pitcher
2012 Hideaki Wakui Lions Opening Day Pitcher
2012 Kazuki Yoshimi Dragons Title Holder, Opening Day Pitcher
2013 Tony Barnette Swallows Title Holder
2013 Jun Hirose Carp All Star
2013 Hirotoshi Masui Fighters Title Holder, All Star
2013 Shohei Ohtani Fighters All Star
2014 Ryota Arai Tigers Clutch Hitter
2014 John Bowker Eagles Clutch Hitter
2014 Itaru Hashimoto Giants Clutch Hitter
2014 Anderson Hernandez Dragons Clutch Hitter
2014 Kenshin Kawakami Dragons Opening Day Pitcher
2014 Mitsuo Yoshikawa Fighters Opening Day Pitcher
2015 Tony Barnette Swallows Exciting Scene
2015 Ikuhiro Kiyota Marines Exciting Scene
2015 Hiroki Kuroda Carp Exciting Scene
2015 Tomoya Mori Lions Exciting Scene
2015 Masahiro Nishino Buffaloes Exciting Scene
2015 Rainel Rosario Carp Exciting Scene
2015 Takahiro Suzuki Giants Exciting Scene
2015 Hayato Takagi Giants Exciting Scene
2015 Masahiro Yamamoto Dragons Exciting Scene
2015 Yasuaski Yamasaki Baystars Exciting Scene
2016 Kohei Arihara Fighters Title Holder, First Win
2016 Miles Mikolas Giants Title Holder
2016 Yasuhisa Naruse Swallows First Win
2017 Takahiro Arai Carp Title Holder
2017 Ayumu Ishikawa Marines Title Holder
2017 Kris Johnson Carp Title Holder
2017 Katsuya Kakunaka Marines Title Holder
2017 Ryosuke Kikuchi Carp Title Holder
2017 Brandon Laird Fighters Title Holder
2017 Scott Mathieson Giants Title Holder
2017 Naoki Miyanishi Fighters Title Holder
2017 Takahiro Norimoto Eagles Title Holder
2017 Shohei Ohtani Fighters Title Holder
2017 Hayato Sakamoto Giants Title Holder
2017 Dennis Sarfate Hawks Title Holder
2017 Hirokazu Sawamura Giants Title Holder
2017 Tomoyuki Sugano Giants Title Holder
2017 Hirotoshi Takanashi Fighters Title Holder
2017 Shun Takayama Tigers Title Holder
2017 Yoshitomo Tsutsugo Baystars Title Holder
2017 Tetsuto Yamada Swallows Title Holder
2017 Yuki Yanagita Hawks Title Holder
2018 Norichika Aoki Swallows Exciting Scene
2018 Yudai Fujioka Marines Exciting Scene
2018 Kotaro Kiyomiya Fighters Exciting Scene
2018 Daisuke Matsuzaka Dragons Exciting Scene
2018 Tomoyuki Sugano Giants Exciting Scene
2019 Katsuki Azuma Baystars Title Holder
2019 Shota Imanaga Baystars Starting Pitcher
2019 Shotaro Kasahara Dragons Starting Pitcher
2019 Takayuki Kishi Eagles Title Holder, Starting Pitcher
2019 Randy Messenger Tigers Starting Pitcher
2019 Naoki Miyanishi Fighters Title Holder, Exciting Scene
2019 Yasuhiro Ogawa Swallows Starting Pitcher
2019 Yudai Ohno Dragons Exciting Scene
2019 Daichi Ohsera Carp Title Holder, Starting Pitcher
2019 Tomoyuki Sugano Giants Title Holder, Starting Pitcher
2019 Shinasuro Tawata Lions Title Holder, Starting Pitcher
2019 Naoyuki Uwasawa Fighters Starting Pitcher
2019 Tsuyoshi Wada Hawks Exciting Scene
2019 Hotaka Yamakawa Lions Title Holder, Exciting Scene
2020 Naomichi Donoue Dragons First Win
2020 Kensuke Kondoh Fighters AVG Leader
2020 Ryoya Kurihara Hawks First Win
2020 Tomoya Mori Lions AVG Leader
2020 Hayato Sakamoto Giants AVG Leader
2020 Seiya Suzuki Carp AVG Leader
2020 Yoshinobu Yamamoto Buffaloes First Win
2021 Shintaro Fujinami Tigers Exciting Scene, Opening Pitcher, Interleague Play
2021 Kosuke Fukudome Dragons Interleague Play
2021 Shuta Ishikawa Hawks Opening Pitcher
2021 Ryosuke Kikuchi Carp Exciting Scene, Interleague Play
2021 Roki Sasaki Marines Interleague Play
2021 Hideaki Wakui Eagles Exciting Scene, Opening Pitcher, Interleague Play
2021 Wang Po-Jung Fighters Interleague Play
2021 Yoshinobu Yamamoto Buffaloes Exciting Scene, Opening Pitcher, Interleague Play
2022 Koyo Aoyagi Tigers Title Holder
2022 Mizuki Hori Fighters Title Holder
2022 Munetaka Murakami Swallows Title Holder, OBP Leader
2022 Takashi Ogino Marines Title Holder
2022 Kazuma Okamoto Giants Title Holder, OBP Leader
2022 Masataka Yoshida Buffaloes Title Holder, OBP Leader

The year with the most subset-only players was 2017 with a whopping 19(!).  This is a little artificial, however, as Calbee only issued two series that year due to a potato shortage (remember that Calbee is distributed with potato chips) so it's likely that a number of those players would have had "regular" cards in Series Three if there had been one.  The most in a year when Calbee issued all three Series was 2019 with 14 followed by 2015 with ten.  On the other end of the spectrum, 2016 only had three and 2013 only had four.  

There's a couple things that really stand out to me with this list.  The first is that Tomoyuki Sugano appears on it THREE times, the most of any player.  Sugano did not have a "regular" card in the 2017, 2018 or 2019 sets.  There are eight other players who appear on this list more than once - Tony Barnette, Ryosuke Kikuchi, Naoki Miyanishi, Tomoya Mori, Shohei Ohtani, Hayato Sakamoto, Hideaki Wakui and Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

The second thing is that there's a handful of times when a player appeared in three subsets in a single year.  Now keep in mind that typically Calbee's sets have three subsets - one with each Series (although I'm oversimplifying a bit).  When you realize that Calbee typically does not include multiple cards of a player in the same Series - so if the player appears in that Series' subset he won't have a "regular" card - you might expect this to be more common occurrence but it's some what rare.  It only happened four times in the time period I looked at.  The first was in 2012 with Kenta Maeda appearing in the "Title Holder", "Opening Day Pitcher" and "All Star" subsets.  What's kind of odd is it didn't happen again until 2021 when it happened three times - Shintaro Fujinami, Hideaki Wakui and Yoshinobu Yamamoto were each in the "Exciting Scene", "Opening Pitcher" and "Interleague Play" subsets.

I'm not sure there's an actual problem with Calbee doing this, it's just an odd side effect of the way they do their sets.  And we're likely to see a repeat of 2017 this year if Calbee really does only issue two Series.  But it is kind of interesting to see how it's worked out over the years.

2 comments:

Sean said...

Wow, that is some impressive homework there!

I suspect that the change from 72 to 60 card regular sets from this year (in addition to the possibility of no Series 3, which is likely to be just this year) will lead to an increase in the number of such guys. They'll basically have three fewer regular cards per team to allocate to players now.

The small size of the regular set, which is now even smaller, is one of the things that knocks my opinion of them down a peg or two in comparison to BBM. As a Dragons fan for example its quite annoying that even some of the guys who get decent playing time don't get Calbee cards. Their best player this year, Seiya Hosokawa, might not appear on any (he's unlikely to appear in any of the subsets since he was a minor player last year, and whether he gets a regular card boils down to whether one of those five spots in Series 2 reserved for Dragons players goes to him, and there is a crowded field of guys who could fill those up).

NPB Card Guy said...

I agree that the drop in "regular" cards from 72 to 60 per Series is going to increase the number of these players, even if they do Series Three this year. It's kind of unfortunate on the timing of me starting to get complete Calbee sets - 2012 appears to be the last year that there was more than one subset per Series. Starting in 2013, there essentially was only one per Series. You'd expect if there were more subset cards there'd be more opportunity for this happen and I'd be curious if that shows up in reality. Not so curious, however, that I'm willing to do the research using TCDB as opposed to my own database though!